Trainer Todd Pletcher can win his fourth Belmont Stakes when he sends out three contenders in the 2021 Belmont Stakes on Saturday at Belmont Park in Elmont, N.Y. The 53-year-old Pletcher won the race in 2007 with Rags to Riches, '13 with Palace Malice and '17 with Tapwrit. On Saturday Pletcher has three of the longest shots in the field: Known Agenda (6-1), Bourbonic (15-1) and Overtook (20-1). Only France Go de Ina (30-1) is a bigger long shot.
The Brad Cox-trained Essential Quality is the 2-1 morning-line favorite in the 2021 Belmont Stakes odds, while surprise Preakness Stakes winner Rombauer is going off at 3-1 in the Belmont Stakes field. Post time for the $1.5 million race is 6:49 p.m. ET. With an evenly-matched field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, you'll want to see what racing insider Bob Weir has to say before making any 2021 Belmont Stakes picks.
Based in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., Weir has been handicapping and following horse racing since reading Andy Beyer's landmark handicapping book "Picking Winners" in the late 1980s. Weir is highly invested in the Beyer Speed Figure, a number assigned to every race run by a horse that measures how fast the horse ran. He uses the figure as the backbone of his handicapping. In fact, thanks to his proficiency with speed figures and top-tier handicapping, he landed one of just eight spots on Beyer's figure-making team in 2017, a position he holds to this day.
Weir's methodology has produced multiple five-figure days. In 2014, he hit a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar. The following year, he nailed a $31,000 Pick 6 at Gulfstream Park. In 2016 and 2017, Weir qualified for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas.
Last year, his first for SportsLine, Weir was on fire. On June 13, Weir hit a $2 superfecta in the Ogden Phipps Stakes that paid a whopping $1,039. He crushed the exacta and trifecta in the Forego Stakes in August for $1,134.50. He hit the late Pick 4 at Belmont Park on June 18, June 19, June 25, July 2 and July 5, with the June 25 score returning a whopping $2,159.50.
This year, he hit the exacta in the Sam F. Davis Stakes, Tampa Bay Derby and Peter Pan Stakes and the trifecta in the Risen Star Stakes and Blue Grass Stakes, with the Tampa Bay Derby score returning $1,414. On May 16 he also hit the Pick 6 at Santa Anita Park. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
Now, Weir has handicapped the 2021 Belmont Stakes contenders, made his picks and constructed his bets. You can only see them here.
Top 2021 Belmont Stakes predictions
After studying the results of every horse, Weir isn't high on the chances of Preakness winner Rombauer, who is 3-1 on the morning line, behind only Essential Quality. A son of Twirling Candy, Rombauer is looking for his fourth career victory. Three weeks ago in Baltimore he got the early pace battle he needed for his late kick and came from behind for a 3 1/2-length win.
But in the Preakness he was a fresh horse, having skipped the Kentucky Derby. On Saturday, the tables are turned; he will be facing several fresh horses who skipped the Preakness. "Obviously, a repeat of that Preakness race makes him a factor, but I think that was the day to have him, at 11-1, not on Saturday at much lower odds against a tougher field," Weir tells SportsLine. "I will only use him in third and fourth."
Another curveball: Weir likes Known Agenda, who is going off at 6-1, the fifth-highest odds in the field. Bred and owned by St. Elias Stables, Known Agenda has two wins in four starts in 2021. He has three wins, one second and one third in seven career starts.
In his signature career victory, the Florida Derby, Known Agenda displayed a relentless and steady late run to earn a 2¾-length win. "[Known Agenda's] style makes him a strong contender for hitting the board," Weir tells SportsLine. Weir will be using Known Agenda prominently on all of his tickets.
How to make 2021 Belmont Stakes picks, bets
Weir is high on two horses who "seem capable of handling the additional distance of the Belmont." He also is high on an outsider who "could be tough." Weir is including these horses in his 2021 Belmont Stakes bets, and so should you. He's sharing which horses to back only at SportsLine.
So who wins the Belmont Stakes 2021? And which outsider will shock horse racing? Check out the latest Belmont Stakes odds 2021 below, then visit SportsLine to see Weir's picks for the Belmont Stakes.
2021 Belmont Stakes horses, odds
| Horse | Odds |
|---|---|
| Essential Quality | 2-1 |
| Rombauer | 3-1 |
| Hot Rod Charlie | 7-2 |
| Rock Your World | 9-2 |
| Known Agenda | 6-1 |
| Bourbonic | 15-1 |
| Overtook | 20-1 |
| France Go de Ina | 30-1 |
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